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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.5%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
37.28% ( -0.14) | 23.31% ( -0.09) | 39.42% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 64.13% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.58% ( 0.43) | 37.42% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.36% ( 0.46) | 59.64% ( -0.46) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( 0.12) | 20.42% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.14% ( 0.2) | 52.86% ( -0.2) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% ( 0.29) | 19.42% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.76% ( 0.47) | 51.24% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 37.28% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 39.42% |
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