Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alverca win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alverca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%).
-0.04) 
0.05) 
