SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 54.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
54.9% ( -0.38) | 23.85% ( 0.3) | 21.25% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.95% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( -1.15) | 49.69% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% ( -1.04) | 71.7% ( 1.05) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( -0.56) | 17.97% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.18% ( -0.98) | 48.82% ( 0.98) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( -0.58) | 37.89% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.34% ( -0.57) | 74.66% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.43% Total : 54.89% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.58% Total : 21.25% |
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