SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Rio Ave |
40.12% ( 0.48) | 27.01% ( 0.15) | 32.87% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 50.41% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.2% ( -0.73) | 54.79% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.9% ( -0.61) | 76.1% ( 0.61) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( -0.08) | 26.77% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.95% ( -0.1) | 62.05% ( 0.1) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( -0.78) | 31.16% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.5% ( -0.92) | 67.5% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.12% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.87% |
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