SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Anderlecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| Anderlecht | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
31.42% ( 0.04) | 24.34% ( 0.02) | 44.23% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.12% ( -0.06) | 43.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.74% ( -0.06) | 66.26% ( 0.06) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% | 26.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( -0) | 61.94% ( 0) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( -0.05) | 19.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.84% ( -0.08) | 52.16% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anderlecht | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.42% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 44.23% |
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