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Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ludogorets Arena
A

Ludogorets
1 - 0
Anderlecht

Thiago (9')
Cafumana (69'), Despodov (90+3'), Padt (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Slimani (45+3'), Murillo (61'), Debast (81'), Riemer (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Roma 3-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 1-2 Anderlecht

Ludogorets may boast home advantage but a combination of injury and suspension has robbed the Bulgarian champions of numerous key figures during their long wait for competitive football. Anderlecht are not the force they once were, but we are backing Riemer's reinvigorated outfit to earn an away win worthy of a champagne celebration they can not quite afford at the moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawAnderlecht
34.05% (-0.052 -0.05) 27.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 38.93% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.66% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.4% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)54.59% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.06% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)75.93% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)30.28% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)66.45% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)27.34% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)62.79% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 34.05%
    Anderlecht 38.92%
    Draw 27.01%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawAnderlecht
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.05%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.01% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 38.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Roma 3-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ludogorets 0-1 Betis
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-0 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Betis 3-2 Ludogorets
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-1 Roma
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Anderlecht 3-1 Sint-Truiden
Sunday, February 12 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Oostende 0-2 Anderlecht
Friday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 0-0 Antwerp
Sunday, January 29 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: RFC Seraing 0-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, January 22 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-3 Zulte
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, January 15 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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