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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Dender had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Dender win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dender | Draw | Anderlecht |
31.04% ( 0.17) | 24.62% ( -0.02) | 44.33% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.52% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.7% ( 0.17) | 45.3% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.36% ( 0.16) | 67.64% ( -0.17) |
| Dender Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( 0.19) | 27.63% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.83% ( 0.25) | 63.17% ( -0.25) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( 0) | 20.52% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.97% ( 0) | 53.03% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dender | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.05% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 44.34% |
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