SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Petrocub Hincesti win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ludogorets Razgrad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ludogorets Razgrad.
| Result | ||
| Petrocub Hincesti | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
14.46% ( -11.12) | 19.79% ( -5.4) | 65.75% ( 16.53) |
| Both teams to score 50.77% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.77% ( 7.81) | 43.23% ( -7.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.38% ( 7.27) | 65.63% ( -7.26) |
| Petrocub Hincesti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.9% ( -7.44) | 42.1% ( 7.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.48% ( -7.14) | 78.52% ( 7.15) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.69% ( 8.44) | 12.31% ( -8.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.9% ( 15.28) | 38.1% ( -15.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Petrocub Hincesti | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 1-0 @ 4.48% ( -3.14) 2-1 @ 4.06% ( -2.29)2-0 @ 1.94% ( -2.1)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.54)3-1 @ 1.17% ( -1.07)Other @ 1.57% Total : 14.46% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -2.59) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -2.01)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.74)Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.79% | 0-2 @ 11.37% ( 2.48) 0-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.45)1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.41)0-3 @ 7.94% ( 3.28)1-3 @ 6.87% ( 1.93)0-4 @ 4.16% ( 2.33)1-4 @ 3.6% ( 1.66)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.35)0-5 @ 1.74% ( 1.17)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.53)1-5 @ 1.51% ( 0.9)Other @ 3.35% Total : 65.75% |
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