SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 10.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.36%) and 3-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Angola in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Angola.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Sudan |
67.6% ( 0.64) | 21.61% ( -0.33) | 10.79% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 35.6% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.9% ( 0.44) | 58.1% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.23% ( 0.34) | 78.77% ( -0.34) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( 0.37) | 16.51% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.75% ( 0.66) | 46.25% ( -0.66) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.64% ( -0.32) | 57.36% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.76% ( -0.18) | 89.24% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angola | Draw | Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 17.06% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 15.36% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.91% Total : 67.6% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.61% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.43% Total : 10.79% |
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