SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Namibia |
55.82% ( 0.32) | 26.51% ( -0.13) | 17.67% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 38.73% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.96% ( 0.19) | 63.04% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.5% ( 0.13) | 82.49% ( -0.14) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( 0.21) | 22.92% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.32% ( 0.32) | 56.68% ( -0.32) |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.25% ( -0.12) | 49.75% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.51% ( -0.09) | 84.48% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angola | Draw | Namibia |
| 1-0 @ 16.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 55.8% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.67% |
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