SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 88.73%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 1.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 2-0 with a probability of 19.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (17.34%) and 1-0 (14.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.32%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (1.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Seychelles |
88.73% ( 0.11) | 9.34% ( -0.04) | 1.93% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 19.83% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.19% ( -0.3) | 43.81% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.81% ( -0.3) | 66.19% ( 0.3) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.25% ( -0.03) | 6.75% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.05% ( -0.09) | 24.95% ( 0.1) |
| Seychelles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 21.27% ( -0.63) | 78.73% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 2.44% ( -0.15) | 97.56% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angola | Draw | Seychelles |
| 2-0 @ 19.31% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 17.34% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 14.32% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 2.83% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)7-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.76% Total : 88.72% | 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.07) 1-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.59% Total : 9.34% | 0-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.66% Total : 1.93% |
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