SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Gaziantep |
54.03% ( 0.15) | 23.96% ( -0.06) | 22% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.7% ( 0.14) | 49.29% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% ( 0.12) | 71.35% ( -0.13) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( 0.11) | 18.15% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.87% ( 0.18) | 49.12% ( -0.18) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% ( -0.01) | 36.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.28% ( -0.01) | 73.71% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.03% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 22% |
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