Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Gaziantep | Draw | Samsunspor |
36.55% ( 0.42) | 26.25% ( -0) | 37.19% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 53.39% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.75% ( 0.02) | 51.25% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% ( 0.02) | 73.08% ( -0.02) |
Gaziantep Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.88% ( 0.26) | 27.12% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.5% ( 0.34) | 62.5% ( -0.33) |
Samsunspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% ( -0.23) | 26.75% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.98% ( -0.3) | 62.02% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Gaziantep | Draw | Samsunspor |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.19% |
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