Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 29
Mar 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadyum Samsun
We said: Samsunspor 2-0 Ankaragucu
Samsunspor's superb home form this season combined with Ankaragucu's abysmal away form makes us believe that the home side should win this game fairly comfortably.
Ankaragucu have struggled for goals at the best of times this year, but with their top scorer Bekiroglu still out with injury we cannot see them scoring in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.
| Result |
| Samsunspor | Draw | Ankaragucu |
53.62% ( -0.01) | 24.86% ( -0.02) | 21.52% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( 0.06) |
| 46.64% ( 0.07) | 53.36% ( -0.07) |
| 25.1% ( 0.06) | 74.9% ( -0.06) |
| 80.13% ( 0.03) | 19.87% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.03% ( 0.04) | 51.97% ( -0.04) |
| 60.3% ( 0.06) | 39.7% ( -0.06) |
