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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Caykur Didi Stadyumu

Caykur Rizespor
3 - 1
Gaziantep

Mbakata (64' og.), Olawoyin (84'), Zeqiri (90+7')
Hojer Nielsen (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sorescu (54')
Mbakata (21'), Maxim (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 6-2 Caykur Rizespor
Friday, March 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-0 Besiktas
Monday, March 11 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Caykur Rizespor 1-0 Gaziantep

While Rizespor have experienced a drop-off since the New Year, they have maintained an above-average home record, conceding only once in their last five matches at Caykur Didi Stadyumu. This should be a tight and tactical match and we feel that the first goal could easily end up being the winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.

Result
Caykur RizesporDrawGaziantep
54.36% (-0.279 -0.28) 23.8% (0.113 0.11) 21.84% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.2% (-0.276 -0.28)48.8% (0.275 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.1% (-0.251 -0.25)70.9% (0.25 0.25)
Caykur Rizespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (-0.206 -0.21)17.85% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (-0.354 -0.35)48.6% (0.353 0.35)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)36.8% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41% (0.004999999999999 0)73.59% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Caykur Rizespor 54.35%
    Gaziantep 21.84%
    Draw 23.79%
Caykur RizesporDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 54.35%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.075 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 21.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Galatasaray 6-2 Caykur Rizespor
Friday, March 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 3-0 Kayserispor
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 3-0 Caykur Rizespor
Friday, February 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 1-3 Fenerbahce
Saturday, February 17 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-0 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, February 11 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 0-0 Konyaspor
Saturday, February 3 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-0 Besiktas
Monday, March 11 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-0 Gaziantep
Monday, March 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-2 Istanbul
Saturday, February 24 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Samsunspor
Sunday, February 18 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 1-3 Gaziantep
Sunday, February 11 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Kayserispor
Saturday, February 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig


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