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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
Antalya Stadyumu

Antalyaspor
1 - 0
Gaziantep

Larsson (40')
Buksa (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Markovic (43'), Monteiro (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Antalyaspor
Monday, February 26 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-2 Istanbul
Saturday, February 24 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Antalyaspor 2-1 Gaziantep

Antalyaspor and Gaziantep have struggled to get going in recent weeks and will head into Monday's clash in search of a pick-me-up. Yalcin's men have lost just one of their last 10 Super Lig home games since October and we see them scraping a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Antalyaspor in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Antalyaspor.

Result
AntalyasporDrawGaziantep
59.1% (-0.609 -0.61) 22.7% (0.311 0.31) 18.2% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 49.61% (-0.421 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (-0.844 -0.84)48.98% (0.84399999999999 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (-0.768 -0.77)71.07% (0.768 0.77)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (-0.495 -0.5)16.23% (0.497 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.26% (-0.91 -0.91)45.74% (0.91 0.91)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (-0.15 -0.15)40.77% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (-0.135 -0.13)77.35% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 59.1%
    Gaziantep 18.2%
    Draw 22.69%
AntalyasporDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 12.03% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 10.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.63% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 59.1%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.226 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.69%
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.179 0.18)
1-2 @ 4.84% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 18.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Antalyaspor
Monday, February 26 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-2 Istanbulspor
Saturday, February 17 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-0 Antalyaspor
Monday, February 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahce
Saturday, February 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-1 Antalyaspor
Monday, January 29 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-1 Sivasspor
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-2 Istanbul
Saturday, February 24 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Samsunspor
Sunday, February 18 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 1-3 Gaziantep
Sunday, February 11 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Kayserispor
Saturday, February 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Gaziantep
Monday, January 29 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Konyaspor
Wednesday, January 24 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig


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