SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-3 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for an Arbroath win it was 2-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee |
16.1% ( -2.53) | 18.28% ( -2.16) | 65.62% ( 4.7) |
| Both teams to score 60.6% ( 2.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.53% ( 5.84) | 32.46% ( -5.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.89% ( 6.49) | 54.1% ( -6.48) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( 0.81) | 33.19% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% ( 0.88) | 69.8% ( -0.87) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% ( 2.89) | 9.29% ( -2.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.65% ( 6.46) | 31.35% ( -6.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee |
| 2-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.62) 1-0 @ 3.4% ( -1.07)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.53)3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.79% Total : 16.1% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( -1.32) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.08% ( -1.06)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.28% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.47)1-3 @ 7.61% ( 0.66)0-1 @ 7.33% ( -1.39)0-3 @ 6.9% ( 0.46)1-4 @ 4.52% ( 0.86)2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.44)0-4 @ 4.1% ( 0.71)2-4 @ 2.49% ( 0.52)1-5 @ 2.15% ( 0.61)0-5 @ 1.95% ( 0.52)2-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.35)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.21)Other @ 3.98% Total : 65.62% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
