SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
26.03% ( -0.96) | 24.47% ( -0.24) | 49.5% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.48% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.31% ( 0.3) | 47.69% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( 0.28) | 69.89% ( -0.28) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( -0.6) | 32.5% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( -0.68) | 69.02% ( 0.68) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( 0.61) | 19.3% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.95% ( 1) | 51.06% ( -0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.03% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.5% |
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