SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee |
35.83% ( 0.07) | 26.54% ( 0.06) | 37.64% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( -0.24) | 52.47% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( -0.21) | 74.14% ( 0.21) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( -0.07) | 28.13% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.19% ( -0.09) | 63.81% ( 0.09) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( -0.19) | 27.07% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% ( -0.24) | 62.44% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.83% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.64% |
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