SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 8.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.15%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Dundee win it was 2-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Celtic |
8.73% ( -0.11) | 13.3% ( -0.03) | 77.97% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.67% ( -0.26) | 27.33% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.1% ( -0.33) | 47.9% ( 0.33) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.08% ( -0.43) | 40.92% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.52% ( -0.39) | 77.48% ( 0.39) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.38% ( -0.03) | 5.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.21% ( -0.08) | 21.79% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 8.73% | 1-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 13.3% | 0-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 9.15% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 8.17% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 6.58% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)0-6 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 5.11% Total : 77.97% |
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