Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
0.52) 
-0.53) 
