Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Arbroath
38.36% ( 0.52)	28.49% ( 0.01)	33.15% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 46.1% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.78% (

-0.1)

60.22% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.59% (

-0.08)

80.41% (

0.08)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.6% (

0.27)

30.39% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.41% (

0.32)

66.59% (

-0.32)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24% (

-0.42)

33.76% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58% (

-0.46)

70.42% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Dundee 38.36%

Arbroath 33.15%

Draw 28.49%

Dundee	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.36%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.49%	0-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.15%