SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Volos had a probability of 8.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Volos win it was 0-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Volos |
74.03% ( 1.61) | 17% ( -0.92) | 8.97% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 41.94% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.8% ( 1.9) | 45.2% ( -1.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.45% ( 1.79) | 67.55% ( -1.79) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.35% ( 0.94) | 10.65% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.51% ( 2.08) | 34.49% ( -2.08) |
| Volos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.94% ( -0.26) | 53.06% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.31% ( -0.17) | 86.69% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Volos |
| 2-0 @ 14.17% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.53)3-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.38)2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.43)4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.24)5-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.07)6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.61% Total : 74.02% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.47)2-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.49% Total : 17% | 0-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.71% Total : 8.97% |
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