SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 67.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 12.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
67.84% ( 0.01) | 19.43% ( -0) | 12.73% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.21% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% ( -0) | 45.47% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.2% ( -0) | 67.8% ( 0) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.61% ( 0) | 12.39% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.73% ( 0.01) | 38.27% ( -0) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.89% ( -0.02) | 46.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.2% ( -0.01) | 81.8% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 2-0 @ 12.45% 1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.67% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.71% 4-0 @ 4.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.09% Total : 67.83% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 19.43% | 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.14% Total : 12.73% |
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