SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Panathinaikos |
44.07% ( -0.19) | 27.91% ( -0.51) | 28.02% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 45.79% ( 1.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.31% ( 2.03) | 59.69% ( -2.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20% ( 1.53) | 80% ( -1.52) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( 0.86) | 26.94% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% ( 1.11) | 62.27% ( -1.1) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( 1.71) | 37.33% ( -1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.89% ( 1.65) | 74.12% ( -1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 13.19% ( -0.7) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.24)2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.9% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.8)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.27)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.15)Other @ 1.74% Total : 28.02% |
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