Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.