Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 14.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
