SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.33%) and 3-1 (5.27%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
43.35% ( 0.08) | 20.03% ( -0.11) | 36.62% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 77.18% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.31% ( 0.54) | 20.69% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.92% ( 0.75) | 39.07% ( -0.75) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( 0.24) | 11.06% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.59% ( 0.52) | 35.41% ( -0.52) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.77% ( 0.26) | 13.22% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.02% ( 0.52) | 39.98% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.41% Total : 43.35% | 2-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)4-4 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.03% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)2-5 @ 1% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 36.62% |
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