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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.17%) and 3-2 (5.03%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
41.9% ( -0.08) | 20.64% ( 0) | 37.45% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 74.83% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.33% ( 0) | 23.66% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.85% ( 0) | 43.15% ( -0) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.29% ( -0.03) | 12.71% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.07% ( -0.05) | 38.92% ( 0.05) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.73% ( 0.03) | 14.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.95% ( 0.06) | 42.05% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 5.03% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 3.74% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 41.9% | 2-2 @ 7.31% ( 0) 1-1 @ 7.28% ( -0)3-3 @ 3.27% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.64% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.31% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.59% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.59% Total : 37.45% |
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