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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.9%) and 3-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
48.62% ( 0.48) | 19.77% ( -0.02) | 31.62% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 76.23% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.8% ( -0.14) | 21.2% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.21% ( -0.2) | 39.79% ( 0.2) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.17% ( 0.07) | 9.83% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.37% ( 0.17) | 32.63% ( -0.16) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( -0.27) | 15.46% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.67% ( -0.52) | 44.32% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 5.51% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.06)4-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)5-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 4.36% Total : 48.62% | 2-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)4-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.77% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 2.84% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.63% Total : 31.62% |
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