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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.73%) and 0-1 (5.67%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
31.57% ( 0.36) | 21.77% ( 0.02) | 46.65% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 68.27% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.68% ( 0.08) | 31.31% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.24% ( 0.09) | 52.76% ( -0.09) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( 0.23) | 20.49% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% ( 0.37) | 52.97% ( -0.37) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( -0.1) | 14.13% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.21% ( -0.19) | 41.79% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.57% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.77% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 4.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.7% Total : 46.65% |
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