Noah
3 - 1
AEK Athens

(FC Noah win 3-2 on aggregate)

Pinson (34'), Cancarevic (67'), Gregorio (90+8')
Gambos (35'), Gambos (53'), Ljubicic (58'), Sangare (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Garcia (22')
Santos (58'), Gregorio (83'), Koita (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between FC Noah and AEK Athens.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 53.84%. A win for FC Noah had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest FC Noah win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
FC Noah	Draw	AEK Athens
24.27%	21.89%	53.84%

Both teams to score 61.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.38%

37.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.14%

59.85%

FC Noah Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5%

28.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73%

64.26%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.94%

14.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.37%

41.63%

Score Analysis

FC Noah 24.27%

AEK Athens 53.84%

Draw 21.89%

FC Noah	Draw	AEK Athens
2-1 @ 6.19% 1-0 @ 5.03% 2-0 @ 3.16% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.44% Total : 24.27%	1-1 @ 9.86% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 4% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.89%	1-2 @ 9.68% 0-1 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 6.33% 0-3 @ 5.04% 2-3 @ 3.98% 1-4 @ 3.11% 0-4 @ 2.47% 2-4 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.22% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.52% Total : 53.84%