SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | AEK Athens |
39.82% ( 0.02) | 24.51% ( 0) | 35.67% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.52% ( -0.02) | 43.49% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.12% ( -0.02) | 65.88% ( 0.03) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0) | 21.85% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.92% ( -0) | 55.08% ( 0) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( -0.03) | 23.99% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( -0.04) | 58.24% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.82% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 35.67% |
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