SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 72.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Inter Club d'Escaldes had a probability of 11.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Inter Club d'Escaldes win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Inter Club d'Escaldes |
72.51% ( 2.94) | 16.37% ( -1.22) | 11.12% ( -1.73) |
| Both teams to score 52.83% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.57% ( 1.22) | 35.43% ( -1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.53% ( 1.34) | 57.47% ( -1.33) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.49% ( 0.98) | 8.5% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.53% ( 2.36) | 29.46% ( -2.36) |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.74% ( -2) | 42.26% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.34% ( -1.78) | 78.66% ( 1.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Inter Club d'Escaldes |
| 2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.65)1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.63)4-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.42)5-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.25)4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.21)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.06)6-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.83% Total : 72.51% | 1-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.34)0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.37% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.44) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.3% Total : 11.12% |
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