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Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Kasakhi Marzik

Noah
2 - 0
Shkendija

Gregorio (81'), Miljkovic (90')
Gambos (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between FC Noah and Shkendija.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: KuPS 5-0 Noah
Thursday, July 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Shkendija (3-2 pen.)
Thursday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Noah win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Noah win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Noah would win this match.

Result
FC NoahDrawShkendija
38.77% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.94% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 35.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 54.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (0.018000000000001 0.02)50% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.98% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
FC Noah Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.29% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.94% (0.011000000000003 0.01)60.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Shkendija Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.01100000000001 0.01)27.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29% (0.015999999999998 0.02)62.7% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    FC Noah 38.77%
    Shkendija 35.29%
    Draw 25.94%
FC NoahDrawShkendija
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 38.77%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: KuPS 5-0 Noah
Thursday, July 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Noah 1-0 KuPS
Thursday, July 8 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kairat 4-1 Noah
Thursday, August 27 at 3pm in Europa League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Shkendija (3-2 pen.)
Thursday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Shkendija 1-0 Haverfordwest
Thursday, July 13 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Shkendija 1-1 AIK (2-3 pen.)
Thursday, August 11 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AIK 1-1 Shkendija
Thursday, August 4 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Shkendija 3-1 Valmiera
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Valmiera 1-2 Shkendija
Thursday, July 21 at 4pm in Europa Conference League


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