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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II.
T

Monaco
1 - 2
Toulouse

Akliouche (48')
Zakaria (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sierro (41'), Costa (70')
Mawissa (65'), Donnum (82'), Restes (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Toulouse
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Monaco 2-0 Toulouse

Morale should be high in the Principality following that dazzling attacking display against Nice, and even without two key attacking pieces, we are tipping Monaco to defeat a side in Toulouse who have been far more inconsistent while lacking quality in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
MonacoDrawToulouse
58.93% (3.295 3.29) 21.5% (-1.281 -1.28) 19.56% (-2.017 -2.02)
Both teams to score 55.92% (1.116 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (3 3)41.79% (-3.004 -3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (2.956 2.96)64.2% (-2.961 -2.96)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.14% (2.085 2.09)13.86% (-2.088 -2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.74% (3.971 3.97)41.25% (-3.975 -3.97)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.91% (-0.286 -0.29)35.08% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17% (-0.297 -0.3)71.83% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 58.93%
    Toulouse 19.56%
    Draw 21.5%
MonacoDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.073 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.571 -0.57)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.51 0.51)
3-0 @ 6.25% (0.531 0.53)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.243 0.24)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.463 0.46)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.463 0.46)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.232 0.23)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.261 0.26)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.257 0.26)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 58.93%
1-1 @ 10.06% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.687 -0.69)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.404 -0.4)
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.764 -0.76)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.424 -0.42)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nice 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rouen 1-1 Monaco (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 8 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, February 4 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rodez AF 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Monaco 1-3 Reims
Saturday, January 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Toulouse
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Nantes
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-3 Toulouse
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Lens
Sunday, January 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rouen 3-3 Toulouse (12-11 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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