SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Toulouse |
58.93% ( 3.29) | 21.5% ( -1.28) | 19.56% ( -2.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.92% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.2% ( 3) | 41.79% ( -3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.8% ( 2.96) | 64.2% ( -2.96) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.14% ( 2.09) | 13.86% ( -2.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.74% ( 3.97) | 41.25% ( -3.97) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.91% ( -0.29) | 35.08% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.17% ( -0.3) | 71.83% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Toulouse |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.57)2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.51)3-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.53)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.46)4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.46)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.23)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.26)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.26)Other @ 3.12% Total : 58.93% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.69) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.69)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.76)0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.56% |
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