Sitting outside the top five on goal difference, Monaco should strengthen their bid for European football with a relatively comfortable victory over Toulouse, who have nothing to play for on the final day of the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
1.64) 
-1.78) 
