Serie B | Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Caligara (19' pen., 42' pen.),
Bellusci (71'),
Duris (86')
Zedadka (13'), Falzerano (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lepore (13' pen.)
Lemmens (34'), Guglielmotti (46')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Lecco.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.
| Result |
| Ascoli | Draw | Lecco |
50.97% ( -0.81) | 27.13% ( 0.31) | 21.89% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 42.71% ( -0.23) |
| 39.03% ( -0.6) | 60.97% ( 0.6) |
| 19.03% ( -0.45) | 80.97% ( 0.45) |
| 75.84% ( -0.63) | 24.16% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.53% ( -0.9) | 58.47% ( 0.9) |
| 56.31% ( 0.16) | 43.69% ( -0.17) |
