SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Cremonese |
34.38% ( -0.08) | 27.81% ( 0.02) | 37.81% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.39% ( -0.07) | 57.61% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.62% ( -0.06) | 78.38% ( 0.06) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% ( -0.09) | 31.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.02% ( -0.1) | 67.98% ( 0.11) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% ( 0.01) | 29.44% ( -0) |
