Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Lecco
57.1% ( -0.06)	24.09% ( 0.03)	18.81% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 46.56% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.38% (

-0.08)

53.62% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.88% (

-0.06)

75.12% (

0.06)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.38% (

-0.05)

18.62% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.08% (

-0.09)

49.92% (

0.09)

Lecco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.21% (

-0.01)

42.79% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.89% (

-0.01)

79.11% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Bari 57.09%

Lecco 18.81%

Draw 24.09%

Bari	Draw	Lecco
1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 57.09%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.09%	0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 18.81%