SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Lecco win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palermo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecco | Draw | Palermo |
25.64% ( -0.24) | 25.2% ( 0.18) | 49.16% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.83% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49% ( -0.92) | 51% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.14% ( -0.81) | 72.86% ( 0.81) |
| Lecco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% ( -0.69) | 34.59% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.69% ( -0.74) | 71.31% ( 0.75) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -0.34) | 20.76% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( -0.54) | 53.4% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecco | Draw | Palermo |
| 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.64% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.58% Total : 49.16% |
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