Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 42.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 28.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Reggiana
42.5% ( -0.73)	29.13% ( 0.24)	28.37% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 42.78% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.46% (

-0.56)

63.54% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.14% (

-0.4)

82.86% (

0.4)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35% (

-0.68)

29.64% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31% (

-0.83)

65.69% (

0.83)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.81% (

0.09)

39.19% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.1% (

0.09)

75.9% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 42.49%

Reggiana 28.37%

Draw 29.12%

Ascoli	Draw	Reggiana
1-0 @ 14.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.42% Total : 42.49%	1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.12%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 28.37%