SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Ashdod had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Ashdod win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ashdod | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
29.47% ( -0.3) | 28.98% ( 0.16) | 41.55% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.3% ( -0.62) | 62.7% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.75% ( -0.45) | 82.25% ( 0.45) |
| Ashdod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.17% ( -0.58) | 37.83% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% ( -0.57) | 74.6% ( 0.57) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% ( -0.22) | 29.76% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.17% ( -0.27) | 65.83% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ashdod | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.68% Total : 29.47% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 13.64% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.44% Total : 41.54% |
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