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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Liverpool Women win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
50.33% ( -0.19) | 22.16% ( -0.23) | 27.5% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 63.84% ( 1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.07% ( 1.48) | 35.93% ( -1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.98% ( 1.61) | 58.02% ( -1.61) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.4% ( 0.47) | 14.6% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.31% ( 0.89) | 42.69% ( -0.89) |
| Liverpool Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( 1.06) | 25.25% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( 1.44) | 60% ( -1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.41)2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.33% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.49% Total : 27.5% |
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