SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United Women in this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
62.16% ( 0.32) | 19% ( -0.06) | 18.84% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 63.83% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.07% ( -0.14) | 30.93% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.69% ( -0.17) | 52.31% ( 0.17) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.34% ( 0.03) | 9.66% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.76% ( 0.08) | 32.24% ( -0.08) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( -0.34) | 29.34% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% ( -0.42) | 65.32% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.86% Total : 62.16% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.37% Total : 19% | 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.84% Total : 18.84% |
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