SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
66.67% ( 0.09) | 17.74% ( -0.06) | 15.59% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.44% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.13% ( 0.23) | 30.86% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.77% ( 0.28) | 52.22% ( -0.28) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.38% ( 0.08) | 8.62% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.25% ( 0.2) | 29.75% ( -0.2) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.23% ( 0.12) | 32.76% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% ( 0.13) | 69.33% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 66.67% | 1-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.74% | 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 15.59% |
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