Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 83.52%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 5.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 4-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
83.52% ( -0.2) | 10.56% ( 0.1) | 5.91% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 52.23% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.71% ( -0.08) | 24.28% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.02% ( -0.11) | 43.98% ( 0.1) |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.84% ( -0.04) | 4.16% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.62% ( -0.14) | 17.38% ( 0.13) |
Liverpool Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.5% ( 0.23) | 45.49% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.67% ( 0.18) | 81.33% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
3-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.4% Total : 83.52% | 1-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 10.56% | 1-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 5.91% |
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