Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground
We said: Aston Villa Women 2-1 Liverpool Women
Aston Villa claimed a narrow win in the reverse fixture and with the Villa Park crowd spurring them on, we think that the hosts will edge out Liverpool once again to record a victory in their final home game of the season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Women win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
32.94% ( 0.63) | 23.44% ( -0.08) | 43.63% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 62.59% ( 0.56) |
| 60.99% ( 0.63) | 39% ( -0.63) |
| 38.67% ( 0.66) | 61.32% ( -0.66) |
| 76.57% ( 0.66) | 23.42% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.57% ( 0.95) | 57.42% ( -0.95) |
| 81.74% ( 0.03) | 18.26% ( -0.03) |
