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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Women win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
32.94% ( 0.63) | 23.44% ( -0.08) | 43.63% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 62.59% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.99% ( 0.63) | 39% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.67% ( 0.66) | 61.32% ( -0.66) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( 0.66) | 23.42% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.57% ( 0.95) | 57.42% ( -0.95) |
| Liverpool Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( 0.03) | 18.26% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.69% ( 0.05) | 49.31% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
| 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.94% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.68% Total : 43.63% |
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