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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 15
Jul 17, 2021 at 10pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NE

Atlanta
0 - 1
New England


Franco (69'), Conway (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bou (18')
Kessler (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew England Revolution
40.6%25.43%33.98%
Both teams to score 55.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04%47.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86%70.14%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57%23.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57%57.43%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92%27.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54%62.46%
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 40.6%
    New England Revolution 33.98%
    Draw 25.42%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.21%
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.6%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.29%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 5.41%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.98%

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