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NE
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2021 at 12am UK
Gillette Stadium
TF

New England
2 - 3
Toronto

Gil (56'), Buksa (78')
McNamara (75')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Soteldo (9'), Lawrence (15'), Endoh (24')
Delgado (55'), DeLeon (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 56.38%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawToronto
56.38%21.71%21.91%
Both teams to score 58.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.49%39.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.15%61.85%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11%13.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.68%41.32%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48%31.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09%67.91%
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 56.38%
    Toronto 21.91%
    Draw 21.71%
New England RevolutionDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.85%
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 6.48%
3-0 @ 5.61%
3-2 @ 3.74%
4-1 @ 3.2%
4-0 @ 2.77%
4-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.26%
5-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 5.69%
0-0 @ 4.38%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-1 @ 5.06%
0-2 @ 2.92%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 21.91%

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