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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 9
May 29, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
N

Atlanta
2 - 2
Nashville

Moreno (6'), Lopez (52')
Moreno (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (80', 83')
McCarty (57'), Lovitz (60'), Haakenson (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNashville SC
47.5%26.95%25.55%
Both teams to score 46.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.32%57.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.56%78.44%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67%24.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28%58.72%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.68%38.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.92%75.08%
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 47.49%
    Nashville SC 25.55%
    Draw 26.95%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 13.17%
2-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 8.93%
3-0 @ 4.39%
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.49%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 9.32%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 8.94%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 25.55%

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