Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.